Conditional Scenario Tree for Complex Events
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Conditional Scenario Tree for Complex Events A prompt that guides AI to break down a complex event into a 3-step decision tree, assign probabilities, compute the composite final probability, and compare it with a market quote.
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馃寪
Descomp贸n el evento [EVENTO COMPLEJO, ej: bajada de tipos de la Fed] en un 谩rbol de decisi贸n de 3 pasos. Para cada paso, asigna una probabilidad estimada y calcula la probabilidad final compuesta para que el evento se realice. Compara tu resultado final con la cuota actual del mercado ([X]%).
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References
- Category: research Prompts
- Source: https://x.com/ecommartinez/status/2083250591393083747
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