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Second-Order Failure Map

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Millie Marconi
Contributed byMillie MarconiXSource

Apr 15, 2026

Second-Order Failure Map A structured prompt to analyze a decision or strategy by mapping both immediate and cascading second-order failures, highlighting hidden vulnerabilities.

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Take [decision/strategy] and map its failure in two layers. Layer 1: the obvious ways this fails the things everyone in the room already worried about. Layer 2: the second-order failures. The things that only go wrong because Layer 1 was partially fixed. The patches that created new vulnerabilities. The solutions that moved the problem somewhere less visible. Most people only see Layer 1. I need the Layer 2 map. Format it as: [First-order failure] -> [How fixing it creates] -> [Second-order failure] -> [Why this one is harder to catch].

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References

Categories:business| twitter| decision-making| risk-analysis

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